Alzheimer’s Disease Project by Dr. Wayne London
Executive Summary
The purpose of the Alzheimer’s Disease Project is to put forth the idea that physical characteristics of place – geography and geology – are relevant in Alzheimer’s disease, and to stimulate research in this area.
This webpage is in four sections:
- The first section contains the Abstract of the Paper: “Death Rates due to Alzheimer’s Disease: Some Regional and Geologic Correlates”.
- The second section contains the Full Paper. The main points of the paper are
- Geologic factors – some types of seismic activity and the presence of felsic (continental crust) minerals – might be environmental influences that affect the development of Alzheimer’s disease (AD).
- Physical characteristics of place – geography and geology – appear relevant to understanding AD, and they require further systematic study.
- The third section extends the initial findings of the paper to county-by-county data in four states: Tennessee (2nd highest death rate due to AD in the US) and neighboring South Carolina (4th highest), Washington (highest) and New York (lowest).
- The county-by-county data in these four states basically support the hypothesis of the paper.
- Indeed, the data from the Center for Disease Control (CDC) of county-by-county death rates due to Alzheimer’s disease show that people living, for example, in the regions of west-central Washington or East Tennessee have death rates from Alzheimer’s disease that are: (a) double the national average and (b) at least 5-8 times higher than people living in the New York City-Long Island region.
- The state-by-state and county-by-county data indicate at least three examples of death rates due to Alzheimer’s disease increasing step-wise as one goes from coastal areas of mafic oceanic crust to mountainous areas of felsic continental crust:
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- The Middle Atlantic/southern New England Region of DC, DE, MD, NJ, NY, CT, RI, MA – versus the Northern New England Region of VT, NH, ME (state-by-state data).
- Tennessee (county-by-county data): West TN versus Middle TN versus East TN.
- New York State (county-by-county data): the New York City/Long Island Region versus the Hudson Valley/Catskill Mountain Regions versus the Adirondack Mountain Region.
- The fourth section briefly examines life expectancy and death rates due to AD, heart disease, cancer, stroke and Parkinson’s disease (another major neurological degenerative disease) in the 11 states having the highest death rate due to AD and in New York (the lowest state) as compared to the US.
- The conclusion is that in these states, the presumed geologic factors are having a significant effect on death rates due to AD, but not a significant effect on life expectancy or death rates due to heart disease, cancer, stroke or Parkinson’s disease.
US Death Rates due to Alzheimer’s Disease: Some Regional and Geologic Correlates
Wayne P. London MD, Alexander P. Gutterman MA, Susanna Hope Glendenning, Paul Eagle, Deborah M. O’Brien from the Brattleboro Research Institute, 139 Main St., Suite 706A, Brattleboro, VT 05301
Key words: Alzheimer’s disease, death rates, regional, geography, geology, seismic.
Abstract
State-by-state death rates due to Alzheimer’s disease (AD) in the US show regional patterns that are not readily explainable by social, cultural or racial factors but appear to correlate with geologic features.
The relevant geological factors that correlate with high death rates due to AD are (1) zones of seismic activity either from intraplate dynamics or active plate margins; higher death rates appear to correlate with subduction as opposed to strike-slip plate margins. (2) geographic zones with abundant felsic rocks containing minerals such as quartz and feldspar, some of which have conductive and piezoelectric properties.
The range in the state-by-state and the regional death rates is more than 3-fold, which is higher than most known risk factors for AD.
These preliminary findings are discussed in the context of the hypothesis of chromosomal missegregation in AD, and they have implications for understanding and preventing AD.
[Note: Google Chrome users may need to use Internet Explorer or Firefox to view the maps below.]
Some County-by-County Analyses of Death Rates due to Alzheimer’s Disease
Quote from our paper above:
“A more systematic study of death rates due to AD and geology also requires data of death rates within states that can be compared with more local geology, for example, by county or geographic area. A prime candidate for this more focused analysis is the state of Tennessee that has the 2nd highest death rate due to AD and is divided into three geographic and geologic regions – East (Blue Ridge Mountains and Tennessee Valley), Middle (the Cumberland Plateau) and West (Gulf Coastal Plain).”
Tennessee Study
Tennessee has the 2nd highest death rate due to AD in the US. It is seismically active with both the New Madrid Seismic zone in the northwest and the East Tennessee Seismic Zone in East Tennessee. Felsic minerals are found in the Blue Ridge Mountains of East Tennessee.
Consistent with the hypothesis of our paper, death rates due to AD in Tennessee correlate with geographic region and geology. As shown in the following map:
- The counties with the highest third of death rates (in red) cluster in East Tennessee – the Blue Ridge Mountain and Tennessee Valley area. Indeed, all 15 counties having the highest death rates in the state cluster either in East TN or in the eastern part of Middle TN.
- The counties with the lowest third of death rates (in yellow) cluster in West Tennessee Gulf Coastal Plain area and extend into the western part of Middle Tennessee to the Nashville Basin. Indeed, 11 of the 15 counties having the lowest death rates in the state cluster either in West TN or in the western part of Middle TN.
- The counties with the middle third of death rates (in blue) tend to cluster in eastern part of Middle Tennessee in the area of the Cumberland Plateau.
The corresponding geology of Tennessee is shown in the next maps:
For key to geologic features, click here.
Thus, the higher death rates due to AD in Tennessee correlate with the felsic rocks in mountains and valleys of East Tennessee and with the East Tennessee Seismic Zone (shown on the map below).
It would appear that the intense seismic activity of the New Madrid Seismic Zone in northwest Tennessee is not affecting the relatively low death rate due to AD in west TN. This is presumably due to the lack of felsic rocks and the resulting piezoelectric effect that would transduce the seismic pressure into an electromagnetic field.
In this regard, this area of northwest TN of intense seismic activity but no felsic rocks mirrors the same two geologic features of Hawaii that has the second lowest death rate due to AD in the US.
Map source: http://www.ceri.memphis.edu/seismic/images/SE_epi.gif
Hamilton County, TN, (whose main city is Chattanooga) is located on the East Tennessee Seismic Zone.
Hamilton County (TN) Alzheimer’s disease death rate
Excerpts from the 2010 report by the Ochs Center for Metropolitan Studies
Hamilton County (TN) Alzheimer’s disease death rate
Excerpts from the report by the Ochs Center for Metropolitan Studies, Dec. 2008
Health in Chattanooga Marked by Disparities
Chattanooga Times, Dec. 14, 2008
South Carolina Study
South Carolina has the 4th highest death rate due to AD in the US. It is seismically active due to the South Carolina Seismic Zone in the southeast central coastal area and it has felsic rocks in the Blue Ridge Mountain area in the northwest part of the state.
Although perhaps as not as clear-cut as Tennessee, the county-by-county death rates due to AD in South Carolina appear to correlate with the above two geologic features.
The county-by-county death rates due to AD in South Carolina are shown in the following map. Again, the counties with the highest third of death rates in the state are in red; those with the middle third of death rates in blue and those with the lowest third of death rates in yellow.
Consistent with the hypothesis of our paper:
- Many counties with higher death rates (in red and blue) cluster in the central and northwest part of the state; many counties with lower death rates (in yellow) cluster in the southeastern part of the state. These two clusters mirror the bedrock geology map of the state shown below.
- In addition, a (red) cluster of counties with the highest death rates in the central part of the state and two counties with higher death rates in the coastal area – Berkeley and Charleston (in red) – are located in the South Carolina Seismic Zone. (See Figure 3 in the full paper, referred to at top.)
Thus, in both Tennessee (2nd highest state) and in South Carolina (4th highest state) the death rates due to AD in county-by-county data appear to correlate with (a) the presence of felsic minerals in the Blue Ridge Mountains and with (b) seismic activity – the East Tennessee and South Carolina Seismic Zones.
Washington State Study
The state of Washington has the highest death rate due to AD in the country – nearly twice the national average. It also has the most active seismic subduction zone in the country – the Juan de Fuca subduction zone – and the presence of felsic minerals.
The county-by-county death rates due to AD in Washington State are shown in the following map. Again, the counties with the highest third of death rates in the state are in red; those with the middle third of death rates in blue and those with the lowest third of death rates in yellow.
Of the 13 counties having the highest death rates due to AD (in red), all but one are located in a north-south tier in the western part of the state close to the seismic subduction zone and where the felsic minerals occur (brown and tan and light-pink in the bedrock geology map). In contrast, most of the 13 counties having the lowest death rates (in yellow) cluster in the eastern part of the state particularly the southeastern area where the mafic rock basalt occurs (reddish-brown in the bedrock geology map).
The county-by-county data in both Tennessee and South Carolina also show high death rates due to AD associated with seismic activity and felsic minerals.
Washington State Alzheimer’s Death Rate Per 100,000 People by County Click Here for Printable Map
Parentheses Indicate County Rank of Alzheimer’s Death Rate from Highest (1st) to Lowest (39th)
Source: CDC Data
New York State Study
New York State has the lowest death rate due to AD of all the 51 states. It is also seismically inactive. This suggests correlating AD death rates within the state with the presence of felsic (continental crust) minerals or mafic (oceanic crust) minerals.
The county-by-county death rates due to AD in New York State are shown in the following map. Again, the counties with the highest third of death rates in the state are in red; those with the middle third of death rates in blue and those with the lowest third of death rates in yellow.
The four gross features of the geology of New York State are (1) the grand sweep of the western state’s classic Paleozoic section, (2) the gnarled ancient rocks of the northern mountains, (3) the north-south stripe of folded Appalachian strata across the easternmost state, and (4) the huge glacial sediment deposit of Long Island. The county-by-county death rates due to AD appear to correlate with some of the gross features of the state’s geology.
Consistent with the hypothesis of our paper:
- All the counties in the New York city metropolitan area have the lowest rates – the large cluster of 13 contiguous counties in yellow. This coastal cluster of low AD death rates correlates with the presence of mafic (oceanic crust) minerals and the lack of felsic (continental crust) minerals. In addition, is the gross feature of “the huge glacial sediment deposit of Long Island.”
- There is a large cluster of counties with high (in red) and intermediate (in blue) death rates in the eastern and northeastern part of state. This area corresponds to the Adirondack and Taconic mountains that contain felsic minerals. This cluster matches “the gnarled ancient rocks of the northern mountains,” and “the north-south stripe of folded Appalachian strata across the easternmost state.”
As shown in the diagram at the bottom, the county-by-county data when grouped by region suggest an increasing death rate due to AD from the coastal New York City/Long Island area (lowest) into the Taconic and Adirondack mountain areas (highest).
The lowest death rates due to AD – 9 or less – are in the New York City/Long Island area. This very populous region has the lowest rates in New York State and probably in the nation – much lower than the national average of about 26. For comparison, rates in west-central Washington and East Tennessee are 5 – 10 times higher than in this New York City/Long Island region.
Moving away from the coast, the rates in the Hudson Valley region are slightly higher – 6 – 12, and even higher in the Catskill region – 9 – 16.
Higher rates that approach or exceed the national average occur in several counties in the Capital-Saratoga region and in the areas of the Taconic and Adirondack mountains.
For key to geologic features, click on a feature in the live map here.
New York State Alzheimer’s Death Rate Per 100,000 People
in Selected Counties and Regions Click Here for Printable Map
Parentheses Indicate County Rank of Alzheimer’s Death Rate
from Highest (1st) to Lowest (62nd).
Source: CDC Data
A brief summary of the county-by-county data in four states: Tennessee (2nd highest death rate due to AD in the US) and neighboring South Carolina (4th highest), Washington (highest) and New York (lowest):
- The county-by-county data in these four states basically support the hypothesis of the paper.
- Indeed, the data from the Center for Disease Control (CDC) of county-by-county death rates due to Alzheimer’s disease show that people living, for example, in the regions of west-central Washington or East Tennessee have death rates from Alzheimer’s disease that are: (a) double the national average and (b) at least 5-8 times higher than people living in the New York City-Long Island region.
A Comparison of Life Expectancy and Death Rates due to Heart Disease, Cancer, Stroke, Parkinson’s and Alzheimer’s Diseases in the 11 states having the highest death rate due to AD and in New York (the lowest state) versus the US. (Parkinson’s disease is another major neurological degenerative disorder.)
Ratio of the State Rate to the US Rate: State/US
State and
(rank) |
Life Expectancy | Heart Disease | Cancer | Stroke | Parkinson’s Disease | Alzheimer’s Disease |
Washington
(highest) |
0.99 | 0.83 | 0.96 | 0.98 | 1.20 | 1.70 |
Tennessee
(2nd) |
0.96 | 1.16 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 0.99 | 1.53 |
North Dakota
(3rd) |
1.00 | 0.91 | 1.02 | 1.13 | 1.09 | 1.49 |
South Carolina
(4th) |
0.96 | 1.00 | 1.07 | 1.19 | 1.02 | 1.40 |
Arizona
(5th) |
0.99 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.22 | 1.40 |
Louisiana
(6th) |
0.95 | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.20 | 1.08 | 1.37 |
Alabama
(7th) |
0.95 | 1.27 | 1.10 | 1.27 | 0.95 | 1.34 |
South Dakota
(8th) |
0.99 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.97 | 1.18 | 1.30 |
Oregon
(9th) |
1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.35 | 1.29 |
Maine
(10th) |
0.99 | 0.87 | 1.07 | 0.95 | 1.08 | 1.28 |
Idaho
(11th) |
1.00 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 1.19 | 1.29 | 1.24 |
New York
(lowest) |
0.99 | 1.16 | 0.93 | 0.68 | 0.63 | 0.40 |
The data for Washington (highest death rate due to AD), Tennessee (2nd highest), South Carolina (4th) and New York (lowest) are displayed in the following graph.
The conclusion is that in these states, the presumed geologic factors are having a significant effect on death rates due to AD, but not a significant effect on life expectancy or death rates due to heart disease, cancer, stroke or Parkinson’s disease.